“The Foole doth thinke he is wise, but the wiseman knowes himselfe to be a Foole.”
- Shakespeare, As You Like It
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The Dunning-Kruger Effect is the inability of low intelligence people to correctly assess their skill at certain tasks. The effect was experimentally ‘proven’ in 1999, and the authors of the prevailing study were awarded an IgNoble Prize for their work, sort of a mock Nobel prize for minor accomplishments. The idea is that people who aren’t especially bright often think they are wonderful at everything they do, while highly intelligent people tend to believe themselves to be only average, as though the difficult things they excel at are easy for everyone. It turns out that the lack of general intelligence also makes people very poor at assessing their own level of competence. I think we can all think of examples of a dimwit who is full of unearned confidence and a smart person who is full of excessive doubt.
One hopes that along the way the highly confident but not very bright person gets a reality check and realizes their shortcomings. For example, if a person of unreasonable confidence had a string of bankruptcies and failed marriages, it might dawn on them that they are not great with people or money. You would hope. If that person, for example, spouted off a daily stream of public rants that were laughable in their simple ingorance of the truth, you would hope that the people who critiqued those rants would get through the thick head of the ranter who would, you would hope, either do a little reading or shut up. You would hope a person that dumb would not become a public figure, and really hope that if they did something stupid like run for president, millions of people wouldn’t fall for his or her empty ramblings. No, in the case of Donald Trump, his Dunning-Kruger filter on the world remains firmly in place. The daily reality checks bounce off his cheezie-coloured noggin like a bullet off a superhero.
If it were just for comedy, Trump would be a great gag. Unfortunately, he is racist, mysoginistic, mean spirited, devoid of any sense of the modern world and a bullying, cheating douchebag. And immensely popular. He’s an orange, wind-tussled Archie Bunker who wants to default on America’s debts and let more jobs go to third world countries. Really? That gets you whose vote, exactly? Not to mention the ridiculous wall. Not only would that idiotic wall cost a fortune – they could probably find the money if they plunder the education budget, who needs that? – but it would be a symbol of intolerance and not much more. Let’s hope no Mexicans own a plane, a boat, a shovel, a sledgehammer or a ladder. And doesn’t it seem a tad inconsistent that those raping, thieving Mexicans are working in his hotels?
To be fair, I’m not completely sold on what the Democrats are cooking up either. In fact it’s been quite a while since I saw a candidate on either side of the 49th parallel that I had total faith in. My favourite of the 2016 batch in the US is Bernie Sanders, but he doesn’t appear to have a chance. Besides, he is so out there he’s like a guy hoping to turn the US into Denmark. I worry if he overcomes the odds and wins the nomination that someone might kill him. He’s pretty old, a really strong glass of prune juice might do the trick, but let me say it now: I’m not cleaning that up.